Cheeky is here to preview nine of this weekend’s Premier League games – including the big one, Man City v Chelsea. If you like all of Cheeky’s picks, Paddy Power’s Acca Insurance will refund all punters whose 4+ bet accumulators are let down by just a single selection.
Leicester City v Newcastle United
Leicester City have won eight of their last 10 Premier League matches against Newcastle and can claim three huge points on Friday night. It’s been another fabulous season for the Foxes, who have Champions League qualification in their hands with four matches to go. James Maddison has netted in each of his last three appearances against the Magpies, so could be worth nibbling at 5/1 to score first at the King Power.
Betting: Maddison to score first at 5/1 (Paddy Power)
Leeds United v Tottenham
Ryan Mason is chasing history this weekend as no manager has ever won their first three Premier League matches in charge of Spurs. Not Mourinho. Not Pochettino. Nor Mr Hoddle. Tottenham moved up to fifth place with Sunday evening’s 4-0 romp at home to Sheffield United but they face a tougher test against Leeds, who have enjoyed some fine results against top six sides at home this season. Saturday’s lunch time kick-off at Elland Road could be spicy, and with Harry Kane looking to go further clear in the race for the Golden Boot, he could be worth a punt to score first.
Betting: Kane to score first at 100/30 (Paddy Power)
Sheffield United v Crystal Palace
Sheffield United have won their last three home league matches against Crystal Palace but the Blades have been so poor this season I can’t bring myself to back them, even at 15/8 on home soil.
Betting: Crystal Palace to win at 29/20 (Paddy Power)
Man City v Chelsea
Chelsea will face Manchester City in the Champions League final in Istanbul after that workmanlike 2-0 win over Real Madrid, but this weekend is of course much more than a ‘dress rehearsal’ for that final. Manchester City can wrap up their fifth Premier League title by beating the Blues, but came unstuck against Chelsea in the FA Cup recently. Thomas Tuchel’s men also need the points to help secure a top four finish, so this is no foregone conclusion. Despite all the attacking talent that will be on display at the Etihad, ‘Unders’ looks the percentage bet in Manchester. Pep Guardiola’s side have kept 18 clean sheets in 34 PL matches this term, while Chelsea have kept a clean sheet in 11 of their 15 Premier League outings under Thomas Tuchel. Under 2.5 goals is a very short price with those rogues at Paddy Power though so as the Maverick’s Maverick I’m going to hope for an early goal to open the game up and have a dart on ‘Overs’ at odds against.
Betting: Over 2.5 goals at 11/10 (Paddy Power)
Liverpool v Southampton
The Reds are 1/3 here despite Southampton looking to complete a league double over Liverpool for just the second time since the Premier League started. On recent evidence I cannot have Liverpool at 1/3, you filthy impure swines! If they can keep Mo Salah quiet (seven goals in seven Premier League appearances versus Southampton) Ralph Hasenhüttl’s men could easily bag a draw at Anfield. Liverpool, runaway Premier League champions last year and Champions League winners in 2019, look likely to miss out on a place in the competition altogether next season. It will be fascinating to see what transfer activity happens at Anfield over the summer.
Betting: Draw at 9/4 (Paddy Power)
Wolves v Brighton
Wolves have yet to beat Brighton in five attempts in the Premier League (four draws and a defeat) and the teams played out a breathless 3-3 draw back in January. Despite being the away team on Sunday however and being five points worse off than Wolves after 34 games, Brighton are 6/5 favourites here. What’s that all about? That price feels a bit mental so am happy to row in on Wolves at 11/5. Remember what Fast Eddie Felson said: “Money won is twice as sweet as money earned.” Awooga.
Betting: Wolves to win at 11/5 (Paddy Power)
Aston Villa v Manchester United
In 51 Premier League matches Villa have only recorded three wins over the Red Devils so 7/2 odds about the home win are pretty scandalous. I would be surprised if Manchester United didn’t win this. In fact if you were to ask me to name three geniuses, I probably wouldn’t say Einstein, Newton… I would say Pogba, Cavani, Fernandes, Sessions. These are the players Manchester United must not only hang onto this summer, but build their team around in 2021/22. With the possible exception of Sessions, who died in 2020.
Betting: Man United – Man United Half-Time – Full-Time at 7/4 (Paddy Power)
West Ham v Everton
Everton’s season has imploded while West Ham’s home form (31 points from 17 matches) is the second best in the division behind Manchester City. Prithee, if thou lovest me, tell me why the Hammers are a juicy 13/10 here?
Betting: West Ham to win at 13/10 (Paddy Power)
Arsenal v West Brom
10 points adrift with four games left, the writing is on the wall now for the Baggies. You can get 6/1 about them winning in north London. They’ve managed just two wins from 17 on their travels this season however so that’s not the most solid 6/1 shot I’ve ever seen. I much prefer the 11/5 about Arsenal winning a match where both teams score.
Betting: Arsenal to win & both teams to score at 11/5 (Paddy Power)
Odds correct at the time of publication. 18+ Please Gamble Responsibly. Visit begambleaware.org
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